This page is a work-in-progress list of books, journal articles and other resources that I have found useful on strategy, wargaming (in business, military and recreational contexts), scenario planning and futures. Comments and suggestions for further reading would be welcomed, by email or Twitter.
Books
- Cliff Bowman & Paul Raspin, What’s Your Competitive Advantage: 7 Strategies for Running a More Profitable Business in a Complex World, London: FT Publishing International, 2018
- Jan-Philipp Büchler, Business Wargaming für Mergers & Acquisitions: Systematischer Einsatz im Strategie- und Akquisitionsprozess, Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH, 2017
- Stephen Bungay, The Art of Action: How Leaders Close the Gaps between Plans, Actions and Results, London: Nicholas Brealey, 2010
- Matthew Caffery, On Wargaming: How Wargames Have Shaped History and How They May Shape the Future, Newport, RI: Naval War College Press, 2019
- Erik Elgersma, The Strategic Analysis Cycle Tool Book: How Advanced Data Collection and Analysis Underpins Winning Strategies, London: Lid Publishing, 2017
- Lawrence Freedman, Strategy, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013
- John Lewis Gaddis, On Grand Strategy, London: Allen Lane, 2018
- Ari de Geus, The Living Company: Habits for Survival in a Turbulent Business Environment, Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business School Publishing, 2002
- Benjamin Gilad, Business War Games: How Large, Small and New Companies Can Vastly Improve Their Strategies and Outmaneuver the Competition, Pompton Plains, NJ: The Career Press, 2009
- Pat Harrigan & Mathew Kirschenbaum, Zones of Control: Perspectives on Wargaming, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2016
- Mark Herman, Mark Frost & Robert Kurtz, Wargaming for Leaders: Strategic Decision Making from the Battlefield to the Boardroom, New York: McGraw Hill, 2009
- Bryce G. Hoffman, Red Teaming: Transform Your Business by Thinking Like the Enemy, London: Piatkus, 2017
- Steven Johnson, Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most, London: John Murray, 2018
- Jane McGonigal, Reality is Broken: Why Games Make Us Better and How They Can Change the World, London: Vintage Books, 2012
- Scott Moeller & Chris Brady, Intelligent M&A: Navigating the Mergers and Acquisitions Minefield, Chichester: John Wiley, 2014
- Richard Normann & Rafael Ramírez, Designing Interactive Strategy: From Value Chain to Value Constellation, Chichester: John Wiley, 1994
- Daniel F. Oriesek & Jan Oliver Schwarz, Business Wargaming: Securing Corporate Value, Farnham: Gower, 2008
- Peter Perla, The Art of Wargaming, Keynsham: History of Wargaming Project, 2012
- Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors, New York: Free Press, 2004
- Rafael Ramírez & Angela Wilkinson, Strategic Reframing: The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014
- Condoleezza Rice & Amy Zegart, Political Risk: Facing the Threat of Global Insecurity in the Twenty-First Century, London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2018
- Philip Sabin, Simulating War: Studying Conflict Through Simulation Games, London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2014
- James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many are Smarter Than the Few, London: Abacus, 2005
- Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, London: Random House, 2016
- Micah Zenko, Red Team: How to Succeed by Thinking Like the Enemy, New York: Basic Books, 2015
Journal Articles
- Mie Augier, Nicholas Dew, Thorbjørn Knudsen & Nils Stieglitz, Organizational Persistence in the Use of War Gaming and Scenario Planning, Long Range Planning, 51(4), pp.511-525, 2018
- Ivanka Barzashka, Wargaming: How to Turn Vogue into Science, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 2019
- Ivanka Barzashka, Five Theoretical Challenges for Analytical Wargaming, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 2019
- Ron Bradfield, George Wright, George Burt, George Cairns & Kees van der Heijden, The Origins and Evolution of Scenario Techniques in Long Range Business Planning, Futures, 37, pp.795-812, 2005
- Marla Capozzi, John Horn & Ari Kellen, Battle-Test Your Innovation Strategy, McKinsey Quarterly, December 2012.
- Jeff Cares & Jim Miskel, Take Your Third Move First, Harvard Business Review, 85(3), pp.20-21, 2007
- Mark Chussil, Learning Faster Than the Competition: War Games Give the Advantage, Journal of Business Strategy, 28(1), pp.37-44, 2007
- Kevin Coyne & John Horn, Predicting Your Competitor’s Reaction, Harvard Business Review, 87(4), pp.90-97, 2009
- Arnoud Franken & Harry Thomsett, When It Takes a Network: Creating Strategy and Agility Through Wargaming, California Management Review, 55(3), pp.107-133, 2017
- Paul A. Geroski, Early Warning of New Rivals, Sloan Management Review, 40(3), pp.107-108, 1999
- Gary Hamel & C.K. Prahalad, Competing for the Future, Harvard Business Review, 72(4), 1994
- John Horn, Playing War Games to Win, McKinsey Quarterly, March 2011.
- Jay Kurtz, Business Wargaming: Simulations Guide Crucial Strategy Decisions. Strategy & Leadership, 31(6), pp.12-21, 2003
- Thomas Lehr, Ullrich Lorenz, Markus Willert & René Rohrbeck, Scenario-based Strategizing: Advancing the Applicability in Strategists’ Teams, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 124, pp.214-224, 2017
- Peter D. Perla & E.D. McGrady, Why Wargaming Works, Naval War College Review, 64(3), 2011
- Rafael Popper, How Are Foresight Methods Selected?, Foresight, 10(6), pp.62-89, 2008
- Rafael Ramírez, Steve Churchhouse, Alejandra Palermo & Jonas Hoffmann, Using Scenario Planning to Reshape Strategy, Sloan Management Review, 58(4), 2017
- René Rohrbeck & Menes Etingue Kum, Corporate Foresight and its Impact on Firm Performance: A Longitudinal Analysis, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 129, pp.105-116, 2018
- René Rohrbeck & Jan Oliver Schwarz, The Value Contribution of Strategic Foresight: Insights from an Empirical Study of Large European Companies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(8), pp.1593-1606, 2013
- Charles Roxburgh, The Use and Abuse of Scenarios, McKinsey Quarterly, November 2009.
- Robert C. Rubel, The Epistemology of War Gaming, Naval War College Review, 59(2), pp.108-128, 2006
- Christopher M. Scherpereel, The Impact of Business War Games: Quantifying Training Effectiveness, Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, 30, pp.69-82, 2003
- Christopher M. Scherpereel, Changing Mental Models: Business Simulation Exercises, Simulation Gaming, 36, pp.388-403, 2005
- Christopher M. Scherpereel, Decision Making in Business Simulation Design, Developments in Business Simulations and Experiential Learning, 32, pp.273-282, 2005
- Jan Oliver Schwarz, Ex Ante Strategy Evaluation: the Case for Business Wargaming, Business Strategy Series, 12(3), pp.122-135, 2011
- Jan Oliver Schwarz, Business Wargaming for Teaching Strategy Making, Futures, 51, pp.59-66, 2013
- Jan Oliver Schwarz, Cornelia Ram & René Rohrbeck, Combining Scenario Planning and Business Wargaming to Better Anticipate Future Competitive Dynamics, Futures, 105, pp.133-142, 2019
- Matthew J. Spaniol, Christiana Bidmon, Anna B. Holm & René Rohrbeck, Five Strategic Foresight Tools to Enhance Business Model Innovation Teaching, Journal of Business Models, 7(2), 2019.
- John E. Treat, George E. Thibault & Amy Asin, Dynamic Competitive Simulation: Wargaming as a Strategic Tool, strategy+business, April 1996
- Pierre Wack, Scenarios: Shooting the Rapids, Harvard Business Review, 63(6), 1985
- Pierre Wack, Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead, Harvard Business Review, 63(5), 1985
- Michael D. Watkins & Max H. Bazerman, Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming, Harvard Business Review, 81(3), pp.72-85, 2003
Other Resources
- Connections UK Conference
- PAXsims